Gathering Storm report sounds one more globalization alarm

In The Gathering Storm, Winston Churchill described “the step-by-step decline” into World War II.

Feb 1st, 2006

Hassaun A. Jones-Bey Senior Editor

In The Gathering Storm, Winston Churchill described “the step-by-step decline” into World War II. “The multitudes remained plunged in ignorance of the simplest economic facts, and the leaders, seeking their votes, did not dare to undeceive them,” he wrote. “The newspapers, after their fashion, reflected and emphasized prevailing opinions.” Churchill’s stated purpose in The Gathering Storm was “to show how easily the tragedy of the Second World War could have been prevented.” 1

In issuing Rising Above the Gathering Storm: Energizing and Employing America for a Brighter Economic Future last fall, the National Academies of Science (NAS; Washington, D.C.) titled the report with Churchill’s metaphor to sound an alarm, according to Steven Chu, director of Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and Nobel Laureate for achievements in the optical sciences.2 In Churchill’s time, as now, a storm was brewing but “people were viewing it and not doing anything,” said Chu, also a member of the Committee on Prospering in the Global Economy of the 21st Century that authored the NAS report, which was initiated after bipartisan requests from both houses of the U.S. Congress (see

The Gathering Storm committee, unlike any NAS study group so far, Chu observed, was composed of one-third corporate CEOs, one-third educational leaders, and one-third prominent scientists. When asked how the U.S. might enhance the science and technology enterprise for continued prosperity and security in a global economy that has already begun to have deeply disturbing impacts on the U.S. economy and way of life, the committee members said they believed that the answer was a “no-brainer.” The nation’s intellectual capital, particularly in science and technology, needs developing, with a particular emphasis on the physical sciences (see “Recommended measures to stop R&D outsourcing”).

This committee and report were also unusual for the NAS, Chu said, because of the level of sustained commitment. The month and a half in which it was written was filled with conference calls in which people cleared the decks to make themselves available. And once the report was written many of the committee members worked to bring the conclusions to the attention of people in positions of responsibility in Congress and the Bush Administration.

“We usually can work hard on the report, but not on the marketing,” Chu said. The fact that CEOs and former CEOs, particularly of Fortune 100 corporations, were working hard to publicize the report for the good of the country gave it more credibility than similar efforts by scientists, which may have been seen as self serving. And others point out that a major value of the report lies in the visibility and support that it provides for similar efforts in the scientific, business, and educational communities that have been under way for a number of years. Robert Boege, Washington, D.C., representative for SPIE (Bellingham, WA), ticked off a list of ongoing efforts and prior documents that included:

Science Education Policies for Sustainable Reform prepared by the American Chemical Society; Tapping America’s Potential prepared by the Business Round Table, the National Association of Manufacturers, and 13 other organizations; and Innovate America prepared by the Council on Competitiveness.

“We were very pleased to see the Gathering Storm report. It was a great validation of the approach we took in addressing innovation and competitiveness issues,” said Jack Finn, spokesperson for Senator John Ensign (R-NV) who cosponsored the Ensign-Lieberman “National Innovation Act” last December based on the Innovate America report of December 2004. “There have been several reports done on these issues and they have all underscored the critical importance of the United States taking action to ensure we remain competitive in this increasingly global marketplace.”

A good bit of new legislation is being proposed, based entirely or in part on the NAS report, including two bills introduced in December 2005 by Congressman Bart Gordon (D-TN): The 10,000 Teachers, 10 Million Minds Science and Scholarship Act (HR 4434) that establishes programs at the National Science Foundation to implement the majority of the K-12 science education recommendations in the NAS report; and The Advanced Research Projects Agency-Energy Act (HR 4435) that establishes an agency (ARPA-E) within the U.S. Department of Energy, modeled after the Department of Defense’s Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, with a goal of reducing U.S. foreign energy dependence by 20% over a 10-year period.

Now that the alarm has been sounded, a crucial component of eventually achieving success will lie in maintaining persistent efforts over decades and in recognizing and working cooperatively to deal with crucial details. Details related to K-12 science education for instance include the fact, as Boege pointed out, that despite federal legislation, the lion’s share of funding must come from the states.

“The big picture is right on,” commented Carl Wieman, a JILA (Boulder, CO), Fellow and Nobel Laureate in the optical sciences, who was not involved in the NAS report but who has studied and advanced novel concepts for improving science education (see and “We need students to be better educated in science and math, and we need better teachers to make it happen. But the details of implementation could have been improved because the committee members did not have the time or the expertise to look into all of the details.”

For instance, the effectiveness of efforts to recruit more science and math teachers remains limited by the relative lack of independence and of professional treatment in secondary education compared with jobs in industry, leading to an unusually high turnover among science and math teachers, Wieman said. There is also “good evidence” that the summer institutes that have been proposed for improving the skills of current science and math teachers “don’t work very well.”

Wieman advocates improving science education not just to produce better scientists and more competitive economies, but also to enable a better-informed electorate to more effectively participate in policy and decision-making that ultimately has worldwide as well as national ramifications. Even though the NAS report did not address this perspective, Wieman sees the report as an important step in that direction. “The level of attention that this report has gotten among high-level policy makers is very encouraging,” he said. “And it’s important at this point to focus on the big picture, instead of on some of the details that need refinement.”


1. W. Churchill, The Second World War: Volume I, Houghton Mifflin, New York, NY (1948).


3. C. Wieman, K. Perkins, Physics Today58(11) 36 (November 2005).

Recommended measures to stop R&D outsourcing

Outsourcing enabled by globalization and computerization presents perhaps one of the most worrisome trends for American workers. The NAS report does not address the outsourcing of manufacturing jobs, which is unlikely to change, Chu said, but does seek to address outsourcing for research-and-development talent through a broad series of recommendations organized under four main headings:

Increase America’s talent pool by vastly improving K-12 science and mathematics education

Sustain and strengthen the nation’s traditional commitment to long-term basic research that has the potential to be transformational to maintain the flow of new ideas that fuel the economy, provide security, and enhance the quality of life

Make the United States the most attractive setting in which to study and perform research so that we can develop, recruit, and retain the best and brightest students, scientists, and engineers from within the United States and throughout the world

Ensure that the United States is the premier place in the world to innovate; invest in downstream activities such as manufacturing and marketing; and create high-paying jobs that are based on innovation by modernizing the patent system, realigning tax policies to encourage innovation, and ensuring affordable broadband access.

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