Mid-year 2019 for the laser market is still complicated

Aug. 26, 2019
Allen Nogee, who contributes to the Industrial Laser Solutions Annual Economic Review published in the January/February issue each year, shared his latest blog with ILS.
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Allen Nogee, who contributes to the Industrial Laser Solutions Annual Economic Review published in the January/February issue each year, shared his latest blog with ILS:

To date, 2019 has been a crazy year in most industries, including lasers. Trade tariffs between the U.S. and China has been the cause of much of this uncertainty, and these tariffs have indirectly caused other problems also, like having a negative impact on both the U.S. and China economies, and a decline in U.S./China relations. For example, China is the world’s largest oil buyer, but Beijing’s U.S. crude imports plummeted immediately after the trade war talk started. The same is true for agriculture, and as the trade war escalated, Chinese companies have stopped buying U.S. agricultural products, which could have a giant negative impact on U.S. farmers. But what about lasers?

As it turns out, with lasers, it’s complicated. While China is the largest consumer of lasers in the world, especially in the materials processing segment, and with U.S. and European companies supplying most of these lasers, at least at higher-powers, the fact is U.S./China tariffs has not had a significant negative direct impact on lasers heading to China, and the reasons are two-fold. First, most large U.S.-based laser manufacturers are multi-national companies, and have the ability to shift their laser production around to different countries, if required. Lasers manufactured outside of the U.S. are not subject to tariffs when shipped to China, so instead of shipping U.S. manufactured lasers to China, these companies shift manufacturing to Europe, for example, then ship those lasers to China bypassing the tariffs. Others have moved their laser production to China, where again, tariffs don’t apply.


About the Author

Allen Nogee | President, Laser Markets Research

Allen Nogee has over 30 years' experience in the electronics and technology industry including almost 20 years in technology market research. He has held design-engineering positions at MCI Communications, GTE, and General Electric, and senior research positions at In-Stat, NPD Group, and Strategies Unlimited.

Nogee has become a well-known and respected analyst in the area of lasers and laser applications, with his research and forecasts appearing in publications such as Laser Focus World, Industrial Laser Solutions, Optics.org, and Laser Institute of America. He has also been invited to speak at conferences such as the Conference on Lasers and Electro-Optics (CLEO), Laser Focus World's Lasers & Photonics Marketplace Seminar, the European Photonics Industry Consortium Executive Laser Meeting, and SPIE Photonics West.

Nogee has a Bachelor's degree in Electrical Engineering Technology from the Rochester Institute of Technology, and a Master's of Business Administration from Arizona State University.

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