In April 2018, the U.S. government proposed a list of 1300 Chinese exports and announced to impose 25% tariffs on these products. Later in July, the Trump administration released the plan of additional tariff enforcement on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. As light-emitting diode (LED) products are included in both tariff lists, LEDinside, a division of TrendForce (Taipei, Taiwan) has continued to follow and analyze the impacts of the tariffs on LED lighting business.
The first tranche of tariffs came in effect on July 6. According to previous analysis by LEDinside, the LED products included in the first list are mainly intermediate goods such as wafers and backlight products. The tariff would influence U.S.-based companies who have factories in the U.S. and have to buy intermediate products from China for manufacturing. Lighting products are mainly end-use products and the impacts on the prices of LED lighting products are not yet noticeable. "Demand in the lighting market remained sluggish in July, but price decline has not been observed yet," says LEDinside analyst Terri Wang.
The additional tariffs announced by the Trump administration in July will influence a wider range of LED lighting products as the tariff list included more than ten categories of LED lighting products. These products account for 75% of Chinese lighting exports and the exported goods of the listed lighting products from China to the U.S. were worth more than $5 billion in 2017. Further details regarding the additional tariff enforcement have not been disclosed yet; however, since the U.S. has been an important export market for China-made LED lighting products, the impacts of tariffs on lighting products will be unavoidable.
The U.S.-based LED giant, Cree, has unveiled that the company is evaluating ways to mitigate the impact of the tariffs. Meanwhile, the company anticipated that the imposed tariffs will lower its earning per share by 2% in the first quarter of fiscal year 2019. Another U.S.-based lighting company, Eaton, said it will manufacture in the same zone in which they sell the products and will take pricing actions to offset the tariffs’ impacts on the business.
Currently, more than 85% of LED lighting products are manufactured and assembled in China. Though many LED lighting companies have facilities outside China, the capacities will not be enough for the demands in the U.S. market. Therefore, the extra cost of tariffs will probably end up in the form of higher prices for U.S. consumers.
In the long term, LED producers who own capacities in Taiwan or South East Asia may be benefited as the orders could be transferred there to avoid the tariff. Mexico might be another place to provide capacities for the U.S. For non-Chinese LED manufacturers, they might continue to face low price competition as Chinese companies might sell less lighting products to the U.S. and turn the remaining products to other non-U.S. markets with even lower prices which will bring impacts on the prices of LED lighting products.
SOURCE: LEDinside; https://www.ledinside.com/news/2018/8/the_impacts_of_the_us_china_trade_war_on_global_led_lighting_business
