The end of the smartphone era has arrived—bring in the lasers

July 30, 2015
For the first time since the smartphone revolution started, smartphone sales in some regions are decreasing, and at the very least in most other areas, sales are flattening out.
Allen Nogee 720
Allen Nogee 720
Allen Nogee 720
Allen Nogee 720
Allen Nogee 720

It’s really hard to believe that it has been just a little over 8 years since Apple introduced the iPhone, the smartphone which more or less started the smartphone revolution. In 2014, close to 1.2 billion smartphones were shipped, with Apple and Samsung leading the pack. What a wild ride it has been, but it looks like all good things must come to an end.

For the first time since the smartphone revolution started, smartphone sales in some regions are decreasing, and at the very least in most other areas, sales are flattening out. In Q1 2015, smartphone sales in China, the world’s largest market, dropped about 4% to under 100M units.

The reasons for the slowdown vary from region to region, but the overall theme is the same everywhere, most everyone on earth already has a smartphone, therefore the number of smartphones that they are buying is slowing. This comes as especially bad news to all the newer smartphone companies who have sprung up in the last few years. Their only means to survive in such a market is to offer smartphones which include unique features, thereby snagging sales away from the clutches of Apple and Samsung, at least until Apple and Samsung start incorporating these same features. This is where lasers come in. With semiconductor lasers small and cheap, and high processing power already in today’s smartphones, lasers look like they could be a great fit in a smartphone.

In my last blog I wrote about LG’s pre-production laser picoprojector smartphone, which definitely fits into this new smartphone feature category, but projecting with lasers is not the only way lasers are making it into smartphones. This week, the Chinese company OnePlus will be releasing its second smartphone, the OnePlus 2, which will include laser autofocusing. LG has also released several smartphones with laser autofocus dating back to 2014. Interestingly, the laser “autofocus” in these smartphones doesn’t actually focus the camera because this would imply that something was actually aiming the laser at the subject, which isn’t the case. Instead, the laser provides the camera with rough distance information, especially at close range, so the conventional phase detection circuitry can lock on its target much faster knowing the rough distance to the subject.

While the first smartphone cameras with laser autofocus don’t actually precisely measure camera to subject distances for focusing, this technology is not that far off. In April 2015 a team at Caltech demonstrated a silicon chip which they call a nanophotonic coherent imager (NCI), which contains a 4 × 4 grid of lidar elements to precisely measure the distance to 16 locations, and they plan to scale up the device to much higher resolutions in the future.

About the Author

Allen Nogee | President, Laser Markets Research

Allen Nogee has over 30 years' experience in the electronics and technology industry including almost 20 years in technology market research. He has held design-engineering positions at MCI Communications, GTE, and General Electric, and senior research positions at In-Stat, NPD Group, and Strategies Unlimited.

Nogee has become a well-known and respected analyst in the area of lasers and laser applications, with his research and forecasts appearing in publications such as Laser Focus World, Industrial Laser Solutions, Optics.org, and Laser Institute of America. He has also been invited to speak at conferences such as the Conference on Lasers and Electro-Optics (CLEO), Laser Focus World's Lasers & Photonics Marketplace Seminar, the European Photonics Industry Consortium Executive Laser Meeting, and SPIE Photonics West.

Nogee has a Bachelor's degree in Electrical Engineering Technology from the Rochester Institute of Technology, and a Master's of Business Administration from Arizona State University.

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